Portfolio · wafer_wahnsinn_84

Buy semiconductors in the tariff crash

Created the day after the historic rally day: Trump suspended reciprocal tariffs for 90 days on April 9, 2025 (Reuters, 2025-04-09) after the SOX lost around 30% in six weeks. Semiconductors were exempt from the reciprocal tariffs anyway (Annex II of the Executive Order dated 2025-04-02). The fundamentals are intact: TSMC reported record profits on 2025-01-16 and wants to double sales of AI accelerators in 2025, Micron raised its forecast on 2025-03-20 due to HBM demand, ASML guides EUR 30-35 billion in sales for 2025 (2025-01-29). I buy the cycle in the fear moment: Hyperscaler capex (Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta together announced over $300 billion for 2025) has not yet been cut. Speculative, 3 years, high drawdowns taken into account. No leverage, no options, no Chinese fabs.

8 Positions·Exchange quotes delayed at least 15 min · crypto live·46 · 372 Visitors(7 days / 30 days)·—calls·75% · 4/8·8z
AI Compute—3
AM
AMDSpeculativeKI-Compute
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
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BI
AVGOSpeculativeKI-Compute
Broadcom Inc.
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NC
NVDASpeculativeKI-Compute
NVIDIA Corporation
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Equipment & width—2
LR
LRCXSpeculativeEquipment & Breite
Lam Research Corporation
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IS
SOXXSpeculativeEquipment & Breite
iShares Semiconductor ETF
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Foundry & Storage—3
AH
ASMLBalancedFoundry & Speicher
ASML Holding N.V.
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MT
MUSpeculativeFoundry & Speicher
Micron Technology, Inc.
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TS
TSMBalancedFoundry & Speicher
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
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Buy semiconductors in the tariff crash · ShareMarkets